Eclipse enhanced
Baseline scenario 

THE TIPPING POINT (t)

(battling the odds)

• t₅₀ (50% tip) moves from ~26 yrs → ~33 yrs (≈ +7 years).

• t₉₀ moves from ~75 yrs → ~93 yrs (≈ +18 years).

• t₁₀₀ moves from ~114 yrs → ~143 yrs (≈ +29 years).

These are Monte Carlo medians with contagion; percentiles are in the CSV.

• Top stability winners (median years gained):

Singapore 12 years

Norway 10.5 years

Switzerland/Finland 10 years

Austria/Denmark/Australia 9–9.5 years

Portugal/Canada/Iceland 8.5–8.7 years

• Mechanism baked in: Eclipse reduces each country’s annual tipping hazard by up to 30% × Integration Score (0–1), then contagion acts on top. I set heuristic Integration Scores for the 26 (e.g., Singapore 0.95, Switzerland 0.90, Finland/Netherlands/Denmark/Norway 0.85 … Bhutan 0.40).